tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Minneapolis via Baltimore: arrives on time 56%

  1. 09:00 BUF → 10:15 BWI
    WN 757 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 86% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 BWI → 15:20 MSP
    WN 1016 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 20mBUF 09:00 to MSP 15:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.