tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 16:10 BUF → 16:50 MDW
    WN 766 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 56% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 MDW → 23:45 TPA
    WN 2910 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip7h 35mBUF 16:10 to TPA 23:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.