tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Newark via Tampa: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:25 BUF → 09:10 TPA
    WN 769 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:57 TPA → 13:48 EWR
    UA 2858 · United · 2h 51m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 23mBUF 06:25 to EWR 13:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.