tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Chicago via Tampa: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:25 BUF → 09:10 TPA
    WN 769 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 TPA → 12:25 MDW
    WN 4033 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 00mBUF 06:25 to MDW 12:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.