tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Las Vegas via St Louis: arrives on time 9%

  1. 17:20 BNA → 18:40 STL
    WN 770 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:40 STL → 21:05 LAS
    WN 3935 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 14% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (14%).
Total trip5h 45mBNA 17:20 to LAS 21:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.