tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → New York via St Louis: arrives on time 31%

  1. 17:20 BNA → 18:40 STL
    WN 770 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 STL → 23:25 LGA
    WN 4684 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 41% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip5h 00mBNA 17:20 to LGA 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.