tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sarasota/Bradenton via Orlando: arrives on time 14%

  1. 16:55 BNA → 20:00 MCO
    WN 787 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 40% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 MCO → 22:00 SRQ
    WN 2710 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection21%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 79% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (21%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 00mBNA 16:55 to SRQ 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.