tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Reno via Las Vegas: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:40 BUR → 16:50 LAS
    WN 791 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 81% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 LAS → 19:10 RNO
    WN 2012 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip3h 30mBUR 15:40 to RNO 19:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.