tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 16%

  1. 17:20 BUR → 18:30 LAS
    WN 792 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 LAS → 20:58 SMF
    WN 978 · Southwest · 1h 38m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip3h 38mBUR 17:20 to SMF 20:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.