tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 38%

  1. 19:00 BUR → 20:10 LAS
    WN 794 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 76% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LAS → 22:32 SJC
    WN 704 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip3h 32mBUR 19:00 to SJC 22:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.