tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Phoenix via Dallas: arrives on time 55%

  1. 08:00 HOU → 09:10 DAL
    WN 8 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 88% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 DAL → 10:55 PHX
    WN 1166 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 64% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 55mHOU 08:00 to PHX 10:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.