tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Santa Rosa via Phoenix: arrives on time 36%

  1. 07:00 BUR → 08:40 PHX
    WN 813 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:17 PHX → 12:30 STS
    AA 3514 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip5h 30mBUR 07:00 to STS 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.