tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Medford via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 10:45 PHX → 13:50 SEA
    WN 814 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:47 SEA → 19:13 MFR
    AS 2037 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 26m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 28mPHX 10:45 to MFR 19:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.