tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Las Vegas via Denver: arrives on time 37%

  1. 14:05 STL → 15:20 DEN
    WN 824 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:35 DEN → 17:35 LAS
    WN 1563 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 30mSTL 14:05 to LAS 17:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.