tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Milwaukee via Denver: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:05 STL → 15:20 DEN
    WN 824 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 DEN → 19:45 MKE
    WN 1629 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 40mSTL 14:05 to MKE 19:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.