tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Tampa via Denver: arrives on time 28%

  1. 14:05 STL → 15:20 DEN
    WN 824 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:28 DEN → 22:10 TPA
    WN 4739 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip7h 03mSTL 14:05 to TPA 22:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.