tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Tampa via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 82%

  1. 07:40 MDW → 10:35 RDU
    WN 852 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:20 RDU → 15:15 TPA
    WN 4442 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 35mMDW 07:40 to TPA 15:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.