tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sacramento via Ontario: arrives on time 72%

  1. 13:55 BNA → 16:00 ONT
    WN 855 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Ontario (ONT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 ONT → 19:55 SMF
    WN 3170 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 00mBNA 13:55 to SMF 19:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.