tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 92%

  1. 06:45 TUS → 08:00 LAS
    WN 860 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:56 LAS → 11:08 PHX
    AA 2004 · American · 1h 12m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip4h 23mTUS 06:45 to PHX 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.