tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:55 BWI → 13:45 ATL
    WN 862 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 41% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:25 ATL → 16:19 BHM
    DL 2484 · Delta · 56m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 26mBWI 11:55 to BHM 16:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.