tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Honolulu via Phoenix: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:15 ONT → 06:30 PHX
    WN 864 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:35 PHX → 12:24 HNL
    AA 693 · American · 6h 44m · 81% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip10h 04mONT 05:15 to HNL 12:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.