tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Denver via Austin: arrives on time 30%

  1. 13:50 BWI → 16:15 AUS
    WN 867 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 AUS → 18:45 DEN
    WN 290 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 55mBWI 13:50 to DEN 18:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.