tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Orlando via Austin: arrives on time 11%

  1. 13:50 BWI → 16:15 AUS
    WN 867 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:05 AUS → 20:50 MCO
    WN 352 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection37%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 63% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (37%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (31%).
Total trip7h 00mBWI 13:50 to MCO 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.