tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Chicago via Baltimore: arrives on time 59%

  1. 13:30 MHT → 15:05 BWI
    WN 868 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 BWI → 20:05 MDW
    WN 1005 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 73% on time, 11.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Manchester). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (11.5% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 35mMHT 13:30 to MDW 20:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.