Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → New York via Phoenix: arrives on time 83%

  1. 16:20 OAK → 18:20 PHX
    WN 878 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 60% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:50 PHX → 05:47 JFK +1 day
    AA 1587 · American · 4h 57m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 27mOAK 16:20 to JFK 05:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.