tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Sarasota/Bradenton via Nashville: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:35 BWI → 18:35 BNA
    WN 879 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 64% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 BNA → 22:45 SRQ
    WN 2700 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip5h 10mBWI 17:35 to SRQ 22:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.