tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → West Palm Beach via Baltimore: arrives on time 27%

  1. 17:18 MCO → 19:52 BWI
    WN 889 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 54% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 BWI → 23:15 PBI
    WN 1045 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 64% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 02mMCO 17:18 to PBI 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.