tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 44%

  1. 12:50 BNA → 15:00 ATL
    WN 893 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:20 ATL → 18:52 TPA
    DL 1594 · Delta · 1h 32m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 02mBNA 12:50 to TPA 18:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.