tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Dallas via Atlanta: arrives on time 30%

  1. 12:50 BNA → 15:00 ATL
    WN 893 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:38 ATL → 17:55 DAL
    DL 2780 · Delta · 2h 17m · 79% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 05mBNA 12:50 to DAL 17:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.