tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Tulsa via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 12:50 BNA → 15:00 ATL
    WN 893 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:01 ATL → 18:04 TUL
    DL 2837 · Delta · 2h 03m · 72% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 14mBNA 12:50 to TUL 18:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.