tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Sacramento via San Diego: arrives on time 44%

  1. 13:35 PHX → 14:45 SAN
    WN 897 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 SAN → 17:30 SMF
    WN 4464 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip3h 55mPHX 13:35 to SMF 17:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.