tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Nashville via St Louis: arrives on time 46%

  1. 12:20 SMF → 18:00 STL
    WN 920 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 STL → 20:10 BNA
    WN 482 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 50mSMF 12:20 to BNA 20:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.