tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Islip → Tampa via Baltimore: arrives on time 64%

  1. 15:05 ISP → 16:20 BWI
    WN 921 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 BWI → 21:50 TPA
    WN 1123 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 74% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 45mISP 15:05 to TPA 21:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.