tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Islip → Orlando via Baltimore: arrives on time 40%

  1. 15:05 ISP → 16:20 BWI
    WN 921 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 BWI → 20:15 MCO
    WN 172 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 47% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip5h 05mISP 15:05 to MCO 20:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.