tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Nashville via Austin: arrives on time 40%

  1. 11:05 DAL → 12:05 AUS
    WN 930 · Southwest · 1h 00m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:05 AUS → 15:10 BNA
    WN 258 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 61% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 05mDAL 11:05 to BNA 15:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.