tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Jose via Dallas: arrives on time 31%

  1. 09:35 BWI → 11:45 DAL
    WN 931 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:35 DAL → 14:05 SJC
    WN 1407 · Southwest · 3h 30m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip7h 30mBWI 09:35 to SJC 14:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.