tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Tampa via Denver: arrives on time 56%

  1. 07:25 BWI → 09:15 DEN
    WN 935 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 DEN → 15:45 TPA
    WN 3560 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 20mBWI 07:25 to TPA 15:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.