tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Houston via Dallas: arrives on time 39%

  1. 12:45 RDU → 14:25 DAL
    WN 936 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 DAL → 16:50 HOU
    WN 37 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 66% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 05mRDU 12:45 to HOU 16:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.