tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Kansas City via Denver: arrives on time 24%

  1. 15:10 BWI → 17:05 DEN
    WN 938 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 DEN → 20:45 MCI
    WN 4305 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip6h 35mBWI 15:10 to MCI 20:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.