tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Tampa via Baltimore: arrives on time 56%

  1. 17:55 BUF → 19:15 BWI
    WN 958 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 66% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 BWI → 23:50 TPA
    WN 4578 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 00mBUF 17:55 to TPA 23:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.