tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Los Angeles via Baltimore: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:55 BUF → 19:15 BWI
    WN 958 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 66% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 BWI → 22:35 LAX
    WN 980 · Southwest · 5h 30m · 47% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip7h 45mBUF 17:55 to LAX 22:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.