tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → New York via Dallas: arrives on time 7%

  1. 11:40 SJC → 17:05 DAL
    WN 965 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 DAL → 22:22 LGA
    WN 4852 · Southwest · 3h 22m · 19% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time7%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (19%).
Total trip7h 42mSJC 11:40 to LGA 22:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.