tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:25 BWI → 08:25 LAS
    WN 973 · Southwest · 5h 00m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:39 LAS → 13:17 SJC
    F9 4103 · Frontier · 1h 38m · 78% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip9h 52mBWI 06:25 to SJC 13:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.