tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:25 BWI → 08:25 LAS
    WN 973 · Southwest · 5h 00m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 LAS → 11:30 SJC
    WN 439 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 80% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 05mBWI 06:25 to SJC 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.