tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 64%

  1. 09:35 BWI → 11:35 LAS
    WN 974 · Southwest · 5h 00m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:35 LAS → 14:10 SMF
    WN 4533 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 35mBWI 09:35 to SMF 14:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.