tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Louisville via Baltimore: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:20 MIA → 08:55 BWI
    WN 974 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 BWI → 12:30 SDF
    WN 1297 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 10mMIA 06:20 to SDF 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.