tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Santa Ana via Las Vegas: arrives on time 80%

  1. 15:45 BWI → 17:45 LAS
    WN 975 · Southwest · 5h 00m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 LAS → 22:20 SNA
    WN 1590 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 82% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 40mBWI 15:45 to SNA 22:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.