tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Albuquerque via Las Vegas: arrives on time 32%

  1. 18:40 BWI → 20:45 LAS
    WN 976 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 52% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 LAS → 00:15 ABQ +1 day
    WN 2177 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 66% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 2 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 37mBWI 18:40 to ABQ 00:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.