tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Denver via Las Vegas: arrives on time 25%

  1. 18:40 BWI → 20:45 LAS
    WN 976 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 52% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 LAS → 00:40 DEN +1 day
    WN 2230 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 49% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip8h 05mBWI 18:40 to DEN 00:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.