tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Salt Lake City via Las Vegas: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:40 BWI → 20:45 LAS
    WN 976 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 52% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 LAS → 00:10 SLC +1 day
    WN 4161 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 25mBWI 18:40 to SLC 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.